Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.762822 0.856408 0.958249 1.077506 1.213586 1.364318 1.544333
2025-02-09 0.620344 0.747680 0.897630 1.088118 1.324896 1.611122 1.985728
2025-02-16 0.539583 0.681122 0.856659 1.092074 1.402111 1.800041 2.355181
2025-02-23 0.487918 0.639628 0.835958 1.111385 1.492152 2.006360 2.764190
2025-03-02 0.431891 0.584013 0.787904 1.084851 1.512421 2.115248 3.046431
2025-03-09 0.401959 0.559308 0.777167 1.105737 1.597303 2.319249 3.485780
2025-03-16 0.367557 0.524280 0.747489 1.094594 1.631732 2.449789 3.826107
2025-03-23 0.344066 0.502344 0.733854 1.104480 1.696824 2.631036 4.265596
2025-03-30 0.317266 0.472865 0.705900 1.088767 1.718665 2.743980 4.603158
2025-04-06 0.295854 0.449611 0.685093 1.081640 1.752373 2.877845 4.990514
2025-04-13 0.268068 0.414159 0.642196 1.034382 1.713714 2.883926 5.147710
2025-04-20 0.255999 0.402684 0.636452 1.047896 1.779535 3.077060 5.672903
2025-04-27 0.245429 0.393132 0.633526 1.066710 1.857978 3.303924 6.299269
2025-05-04 0.233677 0.380752 0.624915 1.074810 1.917882 3.503316 6.899846
2025-05-11 0.222348 0.368162 0.614801 1.078967 1.970226 3.692964 7.505234
2025-05-18 0.214419 0.360784 0.613041 1.097992 2.052393 3.949470 8.289267
2025-05-25 0.200184 0.341328 0.588389 1.071817 2.042977 4.019126 8.668234
2025-06-01 0.193989 0.335751 0.588281 1.092422 2.129202 4.296272 9.561887
2025-06-08 0.183855 0.322328 0.572750 1.081430 2.149039 4.433424 10.143756
2025-06-15 0.177255 0.314947 0.567913 1.091183 2.213179 4.674125 11.014225
2025-06-22 0.167935 0.301881 0.551362 1.075681 2.221233 4.789254 11.584485
2025-06-29 0.160315 0.291559 0.539396 1.068649 2.247118 4.948049 12.292611
2025-07-06 0.148645 0.272785 0.509721 1.022023 2.179753 4.879552 12.380415